Archive for December 2015

Inclusive Growth and Transformation in Financial Services - Positioning the financial system towards inclusive growth and development

Being the second most populous country in the world, India has enormous potential to become the global power house. Even though we have come a long way, the bigger hurdles are yet to overcome. One of them is poverty. Amartya Sen once said "Poverty is not just lack of money. It is not having the capability to realize one's full potential as a human being". The government has been trying to address the issue of poverty since independence, but still one third of our population is below the poverty line. This poses a question - Is addressing poverty is that difficult? Or are we addressing it in a wrong way?

The conventional approach of government towards addressing the issue of poverty is through subsidies and public distribution system.

But the majority of the spending gets absorbed into our complex bureaucratic system through corruption, red-tapism, and implementation delays. Transforming the bureaucratic regime is a cumbersome process. Is there any other alternate way where we can address the issue of poverty and achieve the sustainable development of our nation?

The one word solution is "Inclusive growth through financial inclusion"

Inclusive growth can be defined as providing equitable opportunities and a level playing field to all citizens thereby sharing the benefits of economic growth even handedly. Financial inclusion is the stepping stone towards achieving inclusive growth.

Leveraging the hidden potential of the bottom of the pyramid section of our nation

As per the Rangarajan Committee report on financial inclusion, financial inclusion can be defined as “the process of ensuring access to financial services and timely and adequate credit where needed by vulnerable groups such as weaker sections and low income groups at an affordable cost”. In India, the concept of financial inclusion was introduced a decade back by Mr. K C Chakrabarty. Mangalam, a small village from the state of Tamil Nadu was the first to be brought under the financial inclusion plan and subsequently banking services were provided to all the villagers.

Financial inclusion can act as a stepping stone towards inclusive growth because of the following reasons.

1. It provides a level playing field where one can access the formal financial system for borrowing and lending.

2. The cost of borrowing will reduce drastically and as a result economic growth and prosperity will be achieved.

3. It promotes the saving habits of people thereby increasing the capital formation of the nation.

4. It will help in increased transparency, elimination of middlemen and facilitate huge inflow of money into the formal banking system.

5. It will act as an impetus in eliminating poverty, unemployment and income inequalities in the long run.
It’s now the time to consider the current financial inclusion statistics of India

  Figure 01 - Source of data – World Bank, The global Findex database 2014
Key observations from the report

Nearly half of the population in India still does not have access to formal financial institution. The situation is even bleaker when it comes to females and the poorest section of the society.

As per the policy research working paper published by World Bank, less than 5 percent of adults around the world reported borrowing from a private informal lender. But in India, the percentage of borrowing from private informal lender is a whopping 12.56%. The percentage of informal borrowing increases when it comes to rural areas (15.36%) and people without having primary education (16.14%).

Education level positively influences people in taking decisions. Almost 64 percent of people who have completed secondary education have an account at a financial institution and only 8.51% of people who possess secondary education or more borrowed from a private informal lender.

From these figures it is evident that the current situation is not so encouraging.

What have we done so far? - Transformation in the financial services

The recent announcement from the central bank giving fresh banking licenses almost after a decade to two entities (IDFC and Bandhan Finance) with a strict rural focus can be seen as a welcome move. At the same time the introduction of payment banks, small savings banks, white label ATMs and Digital Banking are going to act as stimulants. Another major transformation can be achieved through JAM Trinity

JAM trinity refers to Jan Dhan Yojana, Aadhar and Mobile. This is going to be one of the biggest path-breaking reforms, if implemented effectively and will act as a pillar in achieving financial inclusion and inclusive development. It can deliver the subsidy and other benefits to people directly thereby eliminating the inefficient distribution of subsidies.

Challenges & Road ahead

It is laudable that the government has already taken significant steps in achieving financial inclusion. But there are several challenges also.

As per the latest financial stability report from RBI, credit growth of scheduled commercial banks (SCB) is at 9.7 percent and the deposits growth is at 12.9 percent which is way below compared to past time. At the same time the gross NPAs of SCBs is at 4.6 percent. These problems can have adverse impacts on achieving equality in credit disbursements and government should formulate viable solutions to tackle these issues.

      Figure 02 – Credit growth & Deposit growth Source – Financial Stability Report, RBI


Under Pradhan Mantri Jan-Dhan Yojana, we have opened 18.47 crores of accounts (11.21 crores in rural areas, as on 23-09-2015). But the success of this scheme will depend on how often people make transactions using these accounts. This is extremely important considering the fact that India has a dormancy rate of 43 percent and accounts for about 195 million of the 460 million dormant accounts around the world. As per the latest statistics, around 41.31 percent of the accounts which is opened under PMJDY scheme have zero balance. Even though we have witnessed a dramatic reduction in the zero balance accounts over the last year (Refer Figure 03), the government should work more in order to bring all the people under the umbrella of the formal financial system.


Achieving financial inclusion by transforming the financial services is the best way to make people competitive across all the sections of society and thereby achieving inclusive development. Of course this will take time and we should not depend on short term fixes. As the honorable governor of the RBI, Raghuram Rajan pointed out “We have to have the discipline to stick to our strategy of building the necessary institutions and creating a new path of sustainable growth where Jugaad is no longer needed. For this, what we need is the understanding and cooperation, not impatience and pressure for quick impossible fixes. Only then can we realize our true potential as a nation.

Regards,
Harikrishnan
Views are personal

References

New Bankruptcy code – Correcting the equation

Capitalism or free market system can be considered as the most effective way to coordinate production and distribution. Even though India is considered as a mixed economy, we as a nation cannot ignore the importance of free markets because on one side mixed economy combines the elements of both free markets with state interventionism and on the other side we are in the process of moving towards capitalism with ebullient force. There is an old saying that capitalism without bankruptcy is like Christianity without hell!  Even though we have come a long way, the bankruptcy proceedings in India are still an incommodious affair. The issues that the Indian banking industry faces over the years can be linked to the inefficiency of existing rules and regulations.

Indian banking industry is going through a very challenging phase. Credit growth of all SCBs declined to 9.4 percent from 9.7 percent while the growth in deposits also declined to 9.9 percent from 10.7 percent between March 2015 and September 2015. The capital to risk weighted assets ratio (CRAR) declined to 12.7 percent from 13 percent. Gross non-performing advances (GNPAs) of all SCBs increased to 5.1 percent from 4.6 percent whereas the net non-performing advances also witnessed an increase from 2.5 percent to 2.8 percent. Significant portion of the stressed assets accumulated in five sectors. They are mining, iron & steel, textiles, infrastructure and aviation. These sectors constitute 24.2 percent of total advances and a whopping 53 percent of total stressed assets.

The capital is really scarce in a developing country like India and therefore it should be allocated in such a way that it benefits all the participants. ‘Allocational efficiency’ occurs when market participants obtain capital that can be used for the most productive purposes thereby spreading opportunities and stimulating economic growth.

But unfortunately it can be observed from the above statistics that we need a strong regulatory infrastructure in place in order to provide equal opportunities to all. This can in turn lead to creative destruction that revolutionizes the economic structure by constantly destroying the old ones and creating new ones.



Measures taken by the RBI towards de-stressing the banking sector

RBI has taken several initiatives to deal with this stressed assets issue. It has created a database for loans above 50 million (CRILIC database) and has asked the banks and NBFCs to report the status of the loans in regular intervals. If a loan is overdue for more than sixty days, then all lenders have to form a Joint Lenders Forum (JLF) to assess and identify how the problems can be fixed. It has also allowed banks to adjust repayment profiles for performing loans to infrastructure and core sector (5/25 rule). Also, in cases of restructuring, RBI and SEBI have together allowed banks to write in clauses that allow banks to convert loans to equity in case the project gets stressed again. Of course these measures are laudable and can yield better results in the coming years but at the same time we have some other pressing concerns.

As per the World Bank report, it takes an average of 4.3 years to resolve an insolvency issue in India but at the same time it takes less than two years to wind up the same issue in US or China. In extreme cases it takes around 15 years to settle the issue in India! As a result of this, lenders in India able to recover only 25 cents to a dollar lent by them this is the worst in emerging economies.

The main reasons for the delay in bankruptcy proceedings are
           1 Existence of multiple laws
               2 Authority inconsistencies among different agencies.

In India, besides the Companies Act, 2013, bankruptcy is dealt with by three major legislations — the Sick Industrial Companies (SICA), the Recovery of Debts due to Banks and Financial Institutions Act, 1993 (RDDB Act) and the Securitization and Reconstruction of Financial Assets and Enforcement of Security Interest Act, 2002 (SARFAESI). At the same time we have different agencies such as high courts, company law board, board for industrial and financial reconstruction (BIFR) and the debt recovery tribunal (DRT) and they have overlapping jurisdiction.

So the obvious question is how to address and overcome these issues. For that what we need is a well drafted bankruptcy law.

The Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code, 2015

The insolvency and bankruptcy code, 2015 is the most awaited and the most powerful reform measure after GST which will provide a framework for time bound resolution of corporate bankruptcy, ensuring that stakeholder interest are protected and the assets are put to use quickly.

Why it is important?

In a limited liability company as long as the company can meet its debt obligations, equity owners have complete control, and lenders do not have any authority in deciding how the business should run. But when default takes place, control has to be transferred to the creditors; equity owners have no say. But unfortunately this is not how companies work in India. For many decades creditors do not have much power when it comes to the insolvency issue.

Features of the proposed code

The insolvency and bankruptcy code attempts to create a standardized insolvency resolution process (IRP) for businesses. It helps the creditors to decide between the possibilities such as coming up with a viable survival mechanism or by ensuring the quick liquidation of stressed assets. One of the important features of the proposed law is that, any creditor, whether financial or operational, should be able to initiate the insolvency resolution process (IRP) under the proposed code. What is meant by operational creditors? Operational creditors include workmen and employees whose past payments are due. As per the existing legislation, only certain parties such as any secured creditors, central and state government, RBI, public financial institutions etc. are eligible to file the application before National Company Law Tribunal (NCLT). Giving powers to the operational creditors will empower the workmen and employees to initiate insolvency proceedings, settle their dues fast and move on to some other job instead of waiting for their dues for years together as is the case under the existing regime.

The Insolvency Resolution Process (IRP) will be initiated and run for as long as 180 days when a default case happens (this can be extended 90 days further as per the complexity of the case ). The IRP is administered by an Insolvency Professional (IP) who is given substantial powers. A credit committee will be formed exclusively by combining all the affected parties and the voting rights will be proportional to the amount of debt they hold. For the 180 days for which the IRP is in operation, the creditors committee will analyze the company, hear rival proposals, and make up its mind about what has to be done. The rival proposals can include various possibilities such as taking the firm into liquidation or negotiating a debt restructuring, or selling the firm. If, in 180 days, no revival plan achieves support of 75% of the creditors, the firm goes into liquidation.

Why it is important for India?

Failures are the essential part of any market economy. It is not the failures that matters in the market economy but what matters is how the failures are cleared and most importantly how the failures are cleared quickly. The productive assets have to be turned out as soon as possible in order to reap the maximum benefits. US, one of the most efficient free market economies has a very effective Bankruptcy Code that provides a fairly quick liquidation or restructuring of business. US have Chapter 7, with cases being filed in bankruptcy courts; Chapter 11, which deals with reorganization of businesses; and Chapter 15, on cross-border insolvencies. As a result of this creditors are able to recover almost 80 cents to a dollar in case of defaults. We are also in the process of becoming a mature market economy. Well drafted and clearly articulated laws and regulations are required in this process. Implementation of this can increase the GDP growth in India by fostering the emergence of a modern credit market. It can also possible that strong bankruptcy proceedings can improve the ease of doing business in India dramatically. What we need is the vibrant and innovative markets without which economies would eventually stagnate and decline. It is possible that there are details in the new proposed Bankruptcy Code for India which are not quite perfect. But the overall idea and the thrust of the new legislation is excellent.

Views are personal :) Comments are welcome :)

References