Archive for March 2016

Budget 2016-17

The budget for the financial year 2016-17 which was presented by the honorable finance minister Mr. Arun Jaitley on February 29 was properly balanced between growth and fiscal discipline. The main focus of the budget was on three major sectors - rural sector, social sector and infrastructure sector. It was a budget for Rural India – for the upliftment of the underprivileged and marginalized section of people. According to experts, the concept of inclusiveness was first tried and tested by the congress led UPA government. The idea was brilliant but unfortunately over the period of time the focus was turned to more of populist ideology. The latest budget tried to provide an enabling environment which can empower rural economy thereby bringing back the same concept of inclusiveness.  

The two major challenges faced by the nation in the past couple of years are; first - the squeeze in the rural consumption because of the two back to back below normal monsoons and second - the corporate under investments. By giving a push to the rural sector and directly addressing the problem of rural consumption, budget also indirectly addresses the problem of corporate under investments.

The following are the major announcements and observations from the budget.



On the agricultural and farmer’s welfare front, the government has been allocated a total of 35984 crores and ensured that proper steps will be taken to double the income of farmers by 2022. Special focus has been given to irrigation, crop insurance scheme, organic farming through Paramparagat Krishi Vikas Yojana, building of compost pits and farm ponds using the MGNREGA scheme and building a common e-market platform to boost the income of farmers.

One of the path-breaking initiatives in the budget as far as the rural sector is concerned; will be the allocation of 2.87 lakh crores to gram panchayaths and municipalities as per the recommendations of 14th finance commission. This devolution of power can radically change the existing political regime and can give a fillip to the local self-governance initiatives.

Other major announcements for the rural sector were - allocation of 38500 crores for MGNREGS for 2016-17, development of 300 Rurban clusters under the Shyama Prasad Mukhajee Rurban Mission, 100 percent electrification by 2018 and emphasis on digital literacy through Digital Literacy Mission. The DBT scheme will be extended to provide fertilizer subsidies. This can create tremendous impact and help the government to effectively address the issue of leakages in the system.

The major announcement made in the social sector was the announcement to provide LPG gas connections to poor households in the name of women members. This can benefit 1.5 crores of households in the BPL category. Apart from that the government also announced to start National Dialysis Services Program and has been allocated 500 crores to stand up India initiative which promotes entrepreneurship among SC, ST and women.

The government has earmarked 1700 crores for the skill development program through the Pradhan Mantri Kaushal Vikas Yojana. Other important announcements in the education sector were – transforming ten public and ten private institutions into world class research and development centres and the establishment of digital depository to keep the academic certificates.

Another thrust area of the budget was infrastructure especially the development of roads and highways. The total allocation towards this was a whopping 97000 crore including Pradhan Mantri Gram Sadak Yojana initiative.

On the financial sector front, the primary focus of the government was to restore the credit growth and strengthen the existing regulatory framework for medium to long run sustainable growth. Key initiatives observed are - amendment of RBI act to include monetary policy committee (The interest rate decisions will be taken by a six member committee, three from RBI side and three from government side with the governor having a casting vote in case of a tie.), enactment of insolvency and bankruptcy code, making the Asset Restructuring Companies to hold 100 percent stake to address the stressed assets issue by modifying the SARFAESI act and amendment of Sebi act to include more benches in the Security Appellate Tribunal to resolve the litigations quickly.

The capitalization plan to the public sector banks remains unchanged at 25000 crores which was a disappointment. But at the same time it has been assured in the budget those other plans such as Indradhanush and the bank board bureau will be in focus for 2016-17. Government is also considering the option of reducing the stake of PSBs to less than 50 percent.

The fiscal deficit target for the 2015-16 remained at 3.9 percent as per the revised estimates and the projected fiscal deficit target for 2016-17 remained at 3.5 percent as per the budget estimates. The government has taken a prudent step to contain the fiscal deficit target within the comfortable range which can give the RBI more room to cut rates. Another major announcement was to do away with the classification of plan expenditure and non-plan expenditure from 2017-18 and the establishment of committee to review the FRBM Act (Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management) and to suggest changes such as  fixing fiscal deficit target in a specific range.  

The announcements made by the finance minister on the personal tax front were focused on giving some relief to the small tax payers at the same time taxing the well-off section in the society more. The income tax slabs remain unchanged but the tax rebate for individuals with income up to 5 lakhs has been increased to 5000 from 2000.  The exemptions under section 80 C did not witness any changes nevertheless the limit under section 80 GG has been increased to 60000. Another major announcement which can have a significant negative impact on salaried employees was on the tax treatment of provident fund. The withdrawal which earlier was fully exempt from tax has been changed to 60 percent taxable for interest accrued from 2016-17. This has to be considered as a move from the government side to shift from an EEE regime to EET regime as per the findings provided in the latest economic survey.

Another interesting announcement was the introduction of a limited period window (1st June to 30th September 2016) for tax payers to disclose their undisclosed assets. It has been assured in the budget speech that there will not be any further enquiry and the persons will have immunity from prosecution.

In summary it was a budget for Bharat – The Rural India. According to experts, the policies announced can structurally change the future of rural and social economy. The key will be on how the government transforms the promises into reality.

Regards,
Harikrishnan